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CF

CHOICEONE FINANCIAL SERVICES INC (COFS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered strong, merger‑driven operating momentum: diluted EPS rose to $0.97, up vs $0.90 in Q2 2025 and $0.85 in Q3 2024, with GAAP NIM expanding to 3.73% on higher net interest income and accretion from purchased loans . Versus S&P Global consensus, EPS beat by $0.11 at $0.97 vs $0.86*, and S&P-standardized revenue exceeded by ~$2.4M at $44.54M vs $42.15M* (3 estimates for EPS; 2 for revenue). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Integration tailwinds persisted: net interest income rose to $37.6M (+85.7% y/y), aided by ~$3.6M accretion from purchased loans; cost of funds improved to 1.77%, while efficiency ratio improved y/y to 54.76% .
  • Balance sheet quality remained solid: ACL/loans steady at 1.19%; NPLs/loans at 0.69% with 0.39% tied to PCD loans; uninsured deposits at 33.2% with $1.2B contingent borrowing capacity .
  • Near-term catalysts: sustained NIM improvement and swap hedging discipline, accretion income visibility ($2.3M remainder 2025; $8.2M 2026 effective interest), and cost discipline post-merger; watch mix shift toward interest-bearing deposits and modest core loan contraction in Q3 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • NIM and NII expansion: GAAP NIM improved to 3.73% (3.17% a year ago); net interest income rose to $37.6M (vs $20.2M y/y), with purchased loan accretion adding 36 bps to NIM and ~$3.6M to loan interest income .
    • Operating leverage: Efficiency ratio improved to 54.76% vs 60.80% in Q3 2024 as revenue scale from the merger outpaced expense growth; noninterest income also increased y/y by $2.3M .
    • Management confidence on integration: “With the Merger behind us, our team is focused on serving our clients and growing our core business” — CEO Kelly Potes .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Core loan growth paused: core loans declined $10.3M in Q3 (1.4% annualized), despite 12‑month organic growth of $65.3M (+4.5%) .
    • Deposit mix shift pressured funding: noninterest-bearing deposits fell $39.9M q/q while interest-bearing demand rose $73.4M; uninsured deposits increased to 33.2% (from 29.6% in Q2), though average noninterest-bearing balances increased sequentially .
    • Credit and NPL optics: NPLs/loans rose to 0.69% (0.19% a year ago), largely from acquired PCD loans (0.39% of loans), requiring continued monitoring though net charge-offs remained low at 0.03% annualized .

Financial Results

Headline results and estimates (periods in chronological order; consensus is S&P Global):

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025 ActualQ3 2025 Consensus
Diluted EPS ($)$0.85 $0.90 $0.97 $0.86* (3 est.)
Total operating revenue ($M) (NII + Noninterest)$25.12 $42.83 $44.74 $42.15M* (2 est.)
Net interest margin (GAAP)3.17% 3.66% 3.73% N/A
Efficiency ratio60.80% 55.32% 54.76% N/A

S&P Global standardized revenue and EPS figures marked with . Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Profit and loss components:

Metric ($M)Q3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net interest income$20.25 $36.32 $37.60
Noninterest income$4.87 $6.50 $7.14
Noninterest expense$15.42 $25.51 $26.22
Provision for credit losses on loans$0.43 $0.65 $0.20
Net income$7.35 $13.53 $14.68
Dividends per share ($)$0.27 $0.28 $0.28

Balance sheet and ratios:

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Total assets ($B)$2.73 $4.31 $4.30
Total deposits ($B)$2.21 $3.59 $3.57
Noninterest-bearing deposits ($B)$0.52 $0.94 $0.90
Brokered deposits ($M)$6.63 $106.23 $72.67
FHLB borrowings ($M)$210.0 $198.4 $197.8
Cost of funds (annualized)1.87% 1.84% 1.77%
ACL/loans1.10% 1.19% 1.19%
NPLs/loans0.19% 0.66% 0.69%
Uninsured deposits (% of total)N/A29.6% 33.2%

Loan composition (end of period, $M):

CategoryQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Commercial real estate$862.8 $1,743.5 $1,728.8
Residential real estate$279.1 $724.3 $728.8
Commercial & industrial$229.2 $351.4 $352.9
Construction real estate$14.6 $21.5 $18.4
Agricultural$49.1 $47.3 $51.2
Consumer$30.7 $29.7 $27.3
Loans to other financial institutions$38.5 $3.0 $2.5

KPIs and operating metrics:

KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
ROAA (annualized)1.09% 1.26% 1.36%
ROATCE (annualized)16.29% 18.26% 19.08%
Net charge-offs (annualized to avg loans)0.02% 0.06% 0.03%
NIM contribution from accretion (bps)2.75 bps (approx., $0.275M) 36 bps 36 bps
Accretion income (quarter, $M)$0.275 $3.5 $3.6

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Merger-related expensesFY 2025 (2H)“Do not anticipate material merger expenses going forward” (Q2) “No merger expenses in Q3; do not anticipate additional material merger expenses” (Q3) Maintained
Purchased loan accretion (effective interest method)Remainder of 2025~$4.1M (as of Q2) ~$2.3M (as of Q3) Lower as time elapsed/updated
Purchased loan accretion (effective interest method)FY 2026N/A~$8.2M New disclosure
Total remaining accretable yield from purchased loansLife of portfolio~$59.8M (as of Q1, broader estimate) ~$51.1M Updated lower with runoff
Deposit costs outlookForwardIf rates decline, anticipate further reductions in deposit costs (Q2) Not reiterated; cost of funds fell to 1.77% in Q3 Implicitly maintained
Quarterly dividendOngoing$0.28 (Q2 2025) $0.28 (Q3 2025) Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: We did not find a Q3 2025 earnings call transcript; MarketBeat listed “Conference Call Date: N/A” for 10/24/2025 release .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025 and Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Merger integration and synergy benefitsQ1: Merger completed; expect synergies; adjusted EPS $0.86 excluding merger items . Q2: Record net income, NIM expansion from merger; integration progress .“Merger behind us”; focus on core growth; no additional material merger expenses anticipated .Positive, stable execution
Net interest margin trajectoryQ1 NIM 3.43% (+); accretion +37 bps . Q2 NIM 3.66%; accretion +36 bps .NIM 3.73%; accretion +36 bps; NII up sharply y/y .Improving
Funding costs and deposit mixQ1: Deposit cost 1.59%; outlook: further declines if rates fall . Q2: Cost of funds 1.84% with mitigation; deposit costs down y/y .Cost of funds 1.77%; noninterest-bearing down q/q; interest-bearing demand up; uninsured deposits 33.2% .Improving cost, mixed mix
Hedging with interest rate swapsQ1: $351M notional; asset sensitive . Q2: $351M notional; $1.3M settlements .$381.3M notional; added $30.4M pay‑fix swaps vs new MBS; $1.3M settlements .Increased hedging activity
Asset qualityQ1 NPLs/loans 0.65%, PCD 0.44% . Q2 0.66%, PCD 0.41% .0.69%, PCD 0.39%; NCOs 0.03% annualized .Slight uptick, stable losses
CRE concentration vs. capitalBank CRE/non‑owner occupied as % of total capital: 303.9% (Q1) ; 290.6% (Q2) .280.0% (Q3) .Improving

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus and integration: “ChoiceOne continues to deliver exceptional results, driven by the strength of our strategic merger with Fentura and a focus on serving our communities” — Kelly Potes, CEO .
  • Post-merger priorities: “With the Merger behind us, our team is focused on serving our clients and growing our core business” — Kelly Potes, CEO .
  • Cost discipline and performance: “ChoiceOne continues to strive to optimize our cost structure while investing in opportunities that enhance our performance” .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was located, and MarketBeat listed “Conference Call Date: N/A” for the 10/24/2025 announcement . As such, no management Q&A themes or clarifications were available from a call.

Estimates Context

  • EPS: $0.97 actual vs $0.86 consensus (beat by $0.11); 3 estimates. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Revenue (S&P-standardized): $44.54M actual vs $42.15M consensus (beat by ~$2.4M); 2 estimates. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Implications: The beat reflects higher‑than‑modeled NIM and NII from merger scale and accretion ($3.6M), plus stronger noninterest income. Estimate revisions may trend higher for NIM/NII run‑rate and fee income, while funding mix (shift to interest‑bearing) and NPL optics could temper forward margin expansion assumptions .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Integration delivering: Better NIM (3.73%) and efficiency (54.8%) underscore synergy capture and revenue scale; continued swap hedging supports NII stability across rate scenarios .
  • Accretion visibility: ~$2.3M (remainder 2025) and ~$8.2M (2026) effective‑interest accretion provide earnings cushion; $51.1M accretable remains over loan life, with variability tied to prepayments .
  • Funding mix to watch: q/q drop in noninterest‑bearing and higher uninsured deposits (33.2%) warrant monitoring, though capacity of ~$1.2B in secured lines provides liquidity backstop .
  • Asset quality stable, but acquired PCD loans drive NPL optics: NPLs/loans at 0.69% with 0.39% from PCD; charge‑offs minimal at 0.03% annualized .
  • Capital remains sound: Bank total risk‑based capital at 12.8% (“well‑capitalized”), even with larger CRE exposure; TCE/TA at 7.04% .
  • Dividend sustained: $0.28/share maintained; payout covered by growing earnings power post‑merger .
  • Near‑term setup: Continued NIM tailwinds and accretion can support EPS trajectory; investors should track core loan growth resumption, deposit mix normalization, and progress reducing brokered balances to enhance funding costs .

References and Sources:

  • Q3 2025 8‑K and Exhibit 99.1 press release: ; .
  • Q2 2025 press release: .
  • Q1 2025 press release: .
  • MarketBeat (conference call N/A): https://www.marketbeat.com/earnings/reports/2025-10-24-choiceone-financial-services-inc-stock/

S&P Global consensus and actuals (asterisked values in tables and Estimates Context) are Values retrieved from S&P Global.*